Creating or importing predictions |
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Get predictions |
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Get predictions from a forecaster on the COVID Hub |
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Get forecast dates per forecaster given select filtering criteria |
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Get available forecast dates for a COVID forecaster on Zoltar |
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Get predictions from a COVID forecaster in Zoltar |
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Vector of quantiles used for submission to the COVID 19 Forecast Hub |
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Get available forecast dates for a forecaster on the COVID Hub |
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List all COVID forecast models available |
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Get predictions from forecasters on the COVID Hub |
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Evaluating predictions |
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Create a score card data frame based on covid forecasts |
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Create a score card data frame |
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Compute weighted interval score |
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Sharpness component of the weighted interval score |
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Overprediction component of the weighted interval score |
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Underprediction component of the weighted interval score |
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Compute absolute error |
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Generate interval coverage error measure function |
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Retrieve actual results for provided forecasts |
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Summarizing scorecards or predictions |
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Compute calibration of a quantile forecaster |
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Compute calibration of a quantile forecaster |
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Compute observed coverage from a quantile forecaster |
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Summarize forecast interval widths |
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Scale error measures based on those of a particular forecaster. |
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Drop irrelevant predictions |
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Visualizing performance |
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Plot calibration curves |
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A canonical function for creating plots within evalcast |
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Plot interval coverage |
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Plot predictions along with truth |
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Plot interval width |
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Example forecasters |
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Baseline forecaster |
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Utilities |
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Get the target period for a forecast date, incidence period and ahead |
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Compute forecast target date in days |
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ggplot formatting for traditional calibration plot. |
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ggplot formatting for wedge calibration plot. |
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Preprocessing for wedge calibration plot |
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Remove all quantile forecasts |
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Check if quantile forecasts are commensurate across groups |
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Find common averaging "locations" |
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Summarize value over the trailing epiweek |
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Convert forecasts into a format compatible with all |